Source details
- Original source
- The Decoder
- Published
- 2026-09-24
- Primary topic
- Developer Tools
Why it matters
Coding copilots, APIs, SDKs, open-source releases, dev workflows, and engineering infrastructure. Use the original source for the full report, then use the directory shortcuts below to compare the products and workflows the story points toward.
What happened
Leading AI experts have consistently underestimated how fast AI is advancing, according to the Forecasting Research Institute. AI reached gold-medal level at the International Mathematical Olympiad five years ahead of the median expert forecast, and Anthropic's annualized revenue is about five times what experts predicted. But forecasts for real-world uses like self-driving cars paint a more mixed picture. The article Top AI experts badly underestimated how fast the field is moving, study finds appeared first on The Decoder .
What to do next
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Leading AI experts have consistently underestimated how fast AI is advancing, according to the Forecasting Research Institute. AI reached gold-medal level at the International Mathematical Olympiad five years ahead of the median expert forecast, and Anthropic's annualized revenue is about five times what experts predicted. But forecasts for real-world uses like self-driving cars paint a more mixed picture. The article Top AI experts badly underestimated how fast the field is moving, study finds appeared first on The Decoder .
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